Tarık
Çetin
GKTürkiye · Fenerbahce
Player dossierSüper Lig
TarıkÇetin
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Fenerbahce
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Çetin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Çetin during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 54% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €994k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 1,261
- Started
- 14/15
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Çetin…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
7% this player0% goalkeeper median69th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jan 2015
- Peak
- €600k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €600k, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-01-01 | €25k | Fenerbahce U19 |
| 2018-07-04 | €50k | Fatih Karagümrük |
| 2020-01-03 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2020-08-04 | €350k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2020-12-23 | €400k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-03-16 | €300k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-05-21 | €500k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-10-12 | €425k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-01-04 | €375k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-03-31 | €375k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-06-01 | €325k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-11-15 | €525k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-04-03 | €550k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-06-23 | €500k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-09-27 | €425k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-12-21 | €350k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-03-15 | €350k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-05-31 | €325k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-10-04 | €275k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-12-23 | €200k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-03-20 | €350k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-06-18 | €325k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-10-01 | €300k | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-12-17 | €600k | Fenerbahce |
| 2026-05-21 | €600k | Fenerbahce |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.786
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 32% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Çetin appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YalçınCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€600k
- BulutRBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€600k
- AjetiCBBodrum FK · Süper Lig€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€600k
- LeshchukGKDynamo Moscow · goalkeepers€600k
- GallonGKFCV Dender EH · goalkeepers€600k
- VasyutinGKAkron Tolyatti · goalkeepers€600k
- McCrorieGKEsbjerg fB · goalkeepers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).