Marc

Cucurella

LBSpain · Chelsea FC

№ 284857World Class €42.4M +0.16

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

MarcCucurella

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club: Chelsea FC
League: Premier League
Nationality: Spain
Age: 27
Height: 173 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cucurella at €50M. Model A, which never saw Cucurella during training, estimates €42.4M: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €41.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 93
Minutes: 7,494
Goals: 6
Assists: 7
Started: 82/93
Min / app: 81
Cards: 22Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cucurella…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,367 this player1,687 defender median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €700k; Jun 2017
Peak: €55M; Sept 2022
Model target: €50M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 27; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€50MChelsea FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50M, Chelsea FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2017-06-30	€700k	FC Barcelona U19
2018-01-01	€2.5M	FC Barcelona B
2018-05-30	€5M	FC Barcelona B
2018-12-21	€7.5M	SD Eibar
2019-02-28	€10M	SD Eibar
2019-06-11	€10M	SD Eibar
2019-12-20	€15M	Getafe CF
2020-03-05	€20M	Getafe CF
2020-04-08	€18M	Getafe CF
2020-10-08	€20M	Getafe CF
2021-01-05	€20M	Getafe CF
2021-06-10	€20M	Getafe CF
2021-12-23	€20M	Brighton & Hove Albion
2022-06-15	€28M	Brighton & Hove Albion
2022-09-15	€55M	Chelsea FC
2022-11-03	€55M	Chelsea FC
2023-03-16	€40M	Chelsea FC
2023-06-20	€35M	Chelsea FC
2023-10-09	€28M	Chelsea FC
2023-12-19	€25M	Chelsea FC
2024-05-27	€25M	Chelsea FC
2024-07-18	€30M	Chelsea FC
2024-12-16	€30M	Chelsea FC
2025-05-30	€35M	Chelsea FC
2025-10-17	€45M	Chelsea FC
2025-12-09	€50M	Chelsea FC
2026-06-03	€50M	Chelsea FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.164

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 88% of the 555 Premier League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Cucurella appears

TerminalPremier League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).