FairValue

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Portrait of Rodri

Rodri

DMSpain · Manchester City

№ 357565World Class €8.4M +1.79

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

Rodri

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Manchester City
League
Premier League
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rodri at €50M. Model A, which never saw Rodri during training, estimates €8.4M: the market value is 497% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×5.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.79A €8.4M▲ +2.98B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,456
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
28/40
Min / app
61
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rodri…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50MModel A €8.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Rodri's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 22nd, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 51st, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 91st45thGoals22ndAssists47thMinutes51stStarts73rdRecent91stEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

25% this player0% midfielder median91st percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Aug 2016
Peak
€130M
Jul 2024
Model target
€50M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
2 club changes
Jun 2026€50MManchester CityValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50M, Manchester City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-01€500kVillarreal CF
2017-01-24€1.5MVillarreal CF
2017-06-05€2.5MVillarreal CF
2018-01-01€20MVillarreal CF
2018-05-30€25MVillarreal CF
2018-10-31€40MAtlético de Madrid
2018-12-21€50MAtlético de Madrid
2019-02-28€60MAtlético de Madrid
2019-06-11€80MAtlético de Madrid
2019-12-10€80MManchester City
2020-04-08€64MManchester City
2020-10-13€64MManchester City
2021-03-18€70MManchester City
2021-05-31€70MManchester City
2021-12-23€70MManchester City
2022-06-15€80MManchester City
2022-11-03€80MManchester City
2023-06-20€90MManchester City
2023-10-09€100MManchester City
2023-12-19€110MManchester City
2024-05-27€120MManchester City
2024-07-18€130MManchester City
2024-12-16€130MManchester City
2025-05-30€110MManchester City
2025-10-17€90MManchester City
2025-12-09€75MManchester City
2026-03-09€65MManchester City
2026-06-03€50MManchester City

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.786

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 88% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 97% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rodri appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).