Melih
Kabasakal
DMTürkiye · Gaziantep FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
MelihKabasakal
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Gaziantep FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Kabasakal at €600k. Model A, which never saw Kabasakal during training, estimates €986k: the market value is 39% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 58
- Minutes
- 4,188
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 49/58
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 16Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kabasakal…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
84% this player69% midfielder median78th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Mar 2014
- Peak
- €800k
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 26
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €600k, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-04 | €50k | Trabzonspor U19 |
| 2016-01-28 | €50k | Trabzonspor |
| 2016-07-15 | €250k | Trabzonspor |
| 2017-06-30 | €200k | Trabzonspor |
| 2018-07-04 | €150k | Trabzonspor |
| 2020-08-27 | €100k | Istanbulspor |
| 2020-12-30 | €200k | Istanbulspor |
| 2021-06-02 | €450k | Istanbulspor |
| 2021-10-22 | €475k | Istanbulspor |
| 2022-01-17 | €500k | Istanbulspor |
| 2022-06-10 | €575k | Istanbulspor |
| 2022-10-27 | €525k | Istanbulspor |
| 2023-04-03 | €500k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-06-23 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-10-20 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-12-29 | €475k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-03-26 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-06-13 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €450k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €600k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-03-20 | €700k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-06-18 | €700k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-10-01 | €800k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €800k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2026-03-05 | €700k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2026-05-21 | €600k | Gaziantep FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.497
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kabasakal appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YalçınCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€600k
- BulutRBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€600k
- AjetiCBBodrum FK · Süper Lig€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€600k
- TimofeevDMLokomotiv Moscow · midfielders€600k
- TankovskyiCMLNZ Cherkasy · midfielders€600k
- ShvetsDMRubin Kazan · midfielders€600k
- KranevitterDMFatih Karagümrük · midfielders€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).