FairValue

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Aleksandr

Selikhov

GKRussia · Ural Yekaterinburg

№ 265153Emerging €286k +1.15

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandrSelikhov

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Ural Yekaterinburg
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
31
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Selikhov at €900k. Model A, which never saw Selikhov during training, estimates €286k: the market value is 215% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €532k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.15A €286k▲ +0.53B €532k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
990
Started
11/11
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Selikhov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €286k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Aleksandr Selikhov's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 17th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 32nd17thMinutes62ndStarts2ndRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2015
Peak
€5.8M
Jun 2018
Model target
€900k
Dec 2025
Valuations
25
2 club changes
Dec 2025€900kUral YekaterinburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €900k, Ural Yekaterinburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-26€100kAmkar Perm
2016-01-06€1MAmkar Perm
2016-05-25€3MAmkar Perm
2016-12-27€4MAmkar Perm
2017-06-01€3.5MSpartak Moscow
2017-12-23€4.5MSpartak Moscow
2018-06-06€5.8MSpartak Moscow
2018-12-20€5.8MSpartak Moscow
2019-06-14€5MSpartak Moscow
2019-12-23€3.5MSpartak Moscow
2020-04-08€2.8MSpartak Moscow
2020-07-29€2MSpartak Moscow
2020-12-29€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2021-04-13€1.2MSpartak Moscow
2021-06-02€1.2MSpartak Moscow
2021-12-29€2MSpartak Moscow
2022-06-02€2.5MSpartak Moscow
2022-11-21€2.8MSpartak Moscow
2023-06-14€3MSpartak Moscow
2023-12-13€2MSpartak Moscow
2024-06-04€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2024-12-12€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2025-03-19€1.2MUral Yekaterinburg
2025-06-02€900kUral Yekaterinburg
2025-12-03€900kUral Yekaterinburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.148

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Selikhov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).