FairValue

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Mory

Diaw

GKSenegal · Le Havre AC

№ 164904Emerging €945k −0.05

Player dossierLigue 1

MoryDiaw

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Le Havre AC
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Senegal
Age
32
Height
197 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Diaw at €900k. Model A, which never saw Diaw during training, estimates €945k: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €939k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €945k▼ −0.04B €939k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
2,655
Started
30/30
Min / app
89
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diaw…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €945k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Mory Diaw's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 71st, European club minutes 32nd47thMinutes62ndStarts71stRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,655 this player1,560 goalkeeper median71st percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2014
Peak
€2M
Jun 2023
Model target
€900k
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
Jun 2026€900kLe Havre ACValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €900k, Le Havre AC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-01€150kParis Saint-Germain
2015-01-14€150kParis Saint-Germain
2015-06-06€150kParis Saint-Germain
2015-07-31€150kCD Mafra
2016-03-14€200kCD Mafra
2017-08-23€250kLokomotiv Plovdiv
2020-01-06€50kFC Lausanne-Sport
2020-07-31€200kFC Lausanne-Sport
2020-12-28€500kFC Lausanne-Sport
2021-06-23€500kFC Lausanne-Sport
2022-01-03€500kFC Lausanne-Sport
2022-06-08€300kFC Lausanne-Sport
2022-09-19€1MClermont Foot 63
2022-11-02€1.5MClermont Foot 63
2023-06-27€2MClermont Foot 63
2023-12-18€2MClermont Foot 63
2024-06-03€1.8MClermont Foot 63
2024-10-03€1.5MClermont Foot 63
2024-12-04€1MClermont Foot 63
2025-06-02€800kRodez AF
2025-10-10€1MLe Havre AC
2025-12-15€1MLe Havre AC
2026-06-01€900kLe Havre AC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.049

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 8% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Diaw appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).