Gregor
Kobel
GKSwitzerland · Borussia Dortmund
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
GregorKobel
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Borussia Dortmund
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Kobel at €40M. Model A, which never saw Kobel during training, estimates €25.6M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €32.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 100
- Minutes
- 9,015
- Started
- 100/100
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kobel…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
9,015 this player2,790 goalkeeper median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €40M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €40M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €40M, Borussia Dortmund. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-01 | €25k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim U19 |
| 2016-02-13 | €25k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim U19 |
| 2016-07-22 | €100k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-02-07 | €150k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-06-19 | €400k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-12-28 | €500k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2018-06-05 | €500k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2018-10-22 | €1M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2018-12-18 | €1M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2019-03-06 | €2.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2019-06-05 | €6M | FC Augsburg |
| 2019-12-13 | €5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2020-04-08 | €4M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2020-09-16 | €5.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2021-02-10 | €8M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2021-05-25 | €13M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2021-10-07 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-12-22 | €20M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2022-06-09 | €22M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2022-11-09 | €25M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-03-29 | €35M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-06-22 | €35M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-12-14 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2024-05-29 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2024-12-20 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-06-05 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-12-19 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026-05-27 | €40M | Borussia Dortmund |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.446
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 93% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Joint 3rd highest observed value among 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kobel appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BaumgartnerAMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€40M
- DaviesLBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€40M
- StanisicRBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€40M
- AdeyemiRWBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€40M
- CostaGKFC Porto · goalkeepers€40M
- VerbruggenGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€40M
- DonnarummaGKManchester City · goalkeepers€45M
- GarcíaGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€45M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).