FairValue

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Filippo

Romagna

CBItaly · US Sassuolo

№ 256678Emerging €1.9M −0.85

Player dossierSerie A

FilippoRomagna

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
US Sassuolo
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
29
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Romagna at €800k. Model A, which never saw Romagna during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €588k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.85A €1.9M▲ +0.31B €588k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
7
Minutes
495
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
6/7
Min / app
71
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Romagna…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Filippo Romagna's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists1stMinutes57thStarts11thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

86% this player83% defender median57th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Oct 2013
Peak
€7M
Mar 2018
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
29
6 club changes
May 2026€800kUS SassuoloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, US Sassuolo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-25€150kJuventus Primavera
2014-06-24€350kJuventus Primavera
2015-06-17€400kJuventus Primavera
2016-06-07€500kJuventus Primavera
2016-12-19€500kNovara Calcio 1908
2017-06-09€1MBrescia Calcio
2017-10-13€2MCagliari Calcio
2017-12-29€4MCagliari Calcio
2018-03-24€7MCagliari Calcio
2018-06-07€7MCagliari Calcio
2018-12-20€7MCagliari Calcio
2019-06-06€6MCagliari Calcio
2019-12-12€6MUS Sassuolo
2020-04-08€4.8MUS Sassuolo
2020-08-25€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2020-10-29€4MUS Sassuolo
2020-12-29€4MUS Sassuolo
2021-06-03€3MUS Sassuolo
2021-12-28€3MUS Sassuolo
2022-06-07€1.5MUS Sassuolo
2022-11-11€1.4MUS Sassuolo
2023-03-21€800kUS Sassuolo
2023-06-15€400kUS Sassuolo
2023-12-27€400kAC Reggiana 1919
2024-06-03€400kAC Reggiana 1919
2024-12-23€500kUS Sassuolo
2025-06-02€800kUS Sassuolo
2025-12-23€800kUS Sassuolo
2026-05-29€800kUS Sassuolo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.848

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Romagna appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).