FairValue

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Matteo

Bianchetti

CBItaly · US Cremonese

№ 160986Emerging €1.1M −0.36

Player dossierSerie A

MatteoBianchetti

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
33
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bianchetti at €800k. Model A, which never saw Bianchetti during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €832k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.36A €1.1M▼ −0.04B €832k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
2,287
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
26/28
Min / app
82
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bianchetti…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Matteo Bianchetti's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 70th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals71stAssists40thMinutes78thStarts70thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player83% defender median78th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2010
Peak
€1.4M
Jul 2014
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
35
9 club changes
May 2026€800kUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-11-16€50kVarese Primavera
2011-06-15€300kVarese Primavera
2011-11-14€250kInter Milan Primavera
2012-03-06€250kInter Milan Primavera
2013-01-15€400kInter Milan
2013-06-25€1MHellas Verona
2014-01-07€1MSpezia Calcio
2014-01-29€1MSpezia Calcio
2014-07-15€1.4MHellas Verona
2015-01-07€1.2MFC Empoli
2015-06-29€1.4MSpezia Calcio
2016-01-04€1.2MHellas Verona
2016-07-15€1MHellas Verona
2016-12-19€900kHellas Verona
2017-06-09€1MHellas Verona
2017-12-29€1MHellas Verona
2018-06-07€800kHellas Verona
2019-01-17€800kHellas Verona
2019-06-05€800kHellas Verona
2019-12-30€800kUS Cremonese
2020-04-08€650kUS Cremonese
2020-08-21€800kUS Cremonese
2021-02-22€700kUS Cremonese
2021-06-24€700kUS Cremonese
2021-12-29€600kUS Cremonese
2022-06-06€700kUS Cremonese
2022-11-11€800kUS Cremonese
2023-06-15€800kUS Cremonese
2023-12-27€700kUS Cremonese
2024-06-03€500kUS Cremonese
2024-12-23€500kUS Cremonese
2025-06-02€400kUS Cremonese
2025-10-07€800kUS Cremonese
2025-12-23€800kUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€800kUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.356

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bianchetti appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).