FairValue

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Bas

Kuipers

LBNetherlands · FC Arouca

№ 187188Emerging €889k −0.11

Player dossierLiga Portugal

BasKuipers

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Arouca
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
31
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kuipers at €800k. Model A, which never saw Kuipers during training, estimates €889k: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €889k▼ −0.95B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
65
Minutes
3,804
Goals
6
Assists
5
Started
41/65
Min / app
59
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kuipers…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €889k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bas Kuipers's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 72nd94thGoals82ndAssists67thMinutes18thStarts47thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.14 this player0.03 defender median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2013
Peak
€1.3M
May 2024
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
27
7 club changes
May 2026€800kFC AroucaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, FC Arouca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-07€25kAjax Amsterdam U21
2014-02-10€125kAjax Amsterdam U21
2014-08-11€200kSBV Excelsior
2015-02-10€350kSBV Excelsior
2015-07-01€400kSBV Excelsior
2016-02-05€400kSBV Excelsior
2016-07-15€450kSBV Excelsior
2017-01-18€450kSBV Excelsior
2017-06-07€350kSBV Excelsior
2018-01-17€250kADO Den Haag
2018-06-12€200kADO Den Haag
2018-12-28€200kADO Den Haag
2019-06-18€300kFC Viitorul Constanta
2020-06-29€325kNEC Nijmegen
2020-10-24€350kGo Ahead Eagles
2020-12-31€350kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-01-05€500kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-06-08€650kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-11-11€700kGo Ahead Eagles
2023-06-23€700kGo Ahead Eagles
2023-12-15€850kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-05-31€1.3MGo Ahead Eagles
2024-12-17€1.3MFC Twente Enschede
2025-05-28€1.2MFC Twente Enschede
2025-10-02€900kFC Twente Enschede
2025-12-02€800kFC Twente Enschede
2026-05-28€800kFC Arouca

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.106

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 35% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kuipers appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).