FairValue

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Matías

Kranevitter

DMArgentina · Fatih Karagümrük

№ 240900Emerging €416k +0.37

Player dossierSüper Lig

MatíasKranevitter

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Fatih Karagümrük
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Argentina
Age
33
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kranevitter at €600k. Model A, which never saw Kranevitter during training, estimates €416k: the market value is 44% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €428k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €416k▲ +0.34B €428k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,779
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
22/23
Min / app
77
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kranevitter…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €416k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Matías Kranevitter's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 34th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 30th34thGoals8thAssists31stMinutes94thStarts58thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player69% midfielder median94th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2013
Peak
€8M
Oct 2017
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
33
6 club changes
May 2026€600kFatih KaragümrükValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Fatih Karagümrük. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-06-22€100kCA River Plate
2013-06-30€500kCA River Plate
2014-02-10€1MCA River Plate
2015-01-10€2MCA River Plate
2015-07-14€7MCA River Plate
2016-02-22€6MAtlético de Madrid
2016-07-15€6MSevilla FC
2017-01-24€6MSevilla FC
2017-06-05€6MSevilla FC
2017-10-02€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-12-23€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-06-06€7MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-12-20€5.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€4MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-12-23€2.8MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-04-08€2.2MCF Monterrey
2020-06-27€2.2MCF Monterrey
2020-12-18€2.5MCF Monterrey
2021-04-21€3.5MCF Monterrey
2021-10-15€3.5MCF Monterrey
2022-04-11€3MCF Monterrey
2022-10-31€3MCF Monterrey
2023-07-04€2.5MCA River Plate
2023-10-04€2MCA River Plate
2023-12-19€1.7MCA River Plate
2024-03-11€1.2MCA River Plate
2024-06-12€1.2MCA River Plate
2024-12-13€1.2MCA River Plate
2025-04-02€1MCA River Plate
2025-06-02€800kCA River Plate
2025-10-01€700kFatih Karagümrük
2025-12-17€700kFatih Karagümrük
2026-05-21€600kFatih Karagümrük

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.365

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kranevitter appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).