FairValue

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Halil

Akbunar

RWTürkiye · Eyüpspor

№ 212229Emerging €699k −0.15

Player dossierSüper Lig

HalilAkbunar

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Eyüpspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
32
Height
170 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
17 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Akbunar at €600k. Model A, which never saw Akbunar during training, estimates €699k: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.15A €699k▼ −0.58B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
3,442
Goals
10
Assists
5
Started
40/63
Min / app
55
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Akbunar…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €699k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Halil Akbunar's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 50th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 28th50thGoals43rdAssists73rdMinutes58thStarts48thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,442 this player2,242 attacker median73rd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2012
Peak
€4.8M
May 2021
Model target
€600k
Dec 2025
Valuations
39
6 club changes
Dec 2025€600kEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-02-02€50kGöztepe
2012-06-22€100kGöztepe
2013-01-05€400kGöztepe
2013-06-19€400kGöztepe
2014-03-19€500kGöztepe
2014-07-08€450kGöztepe
2015-07-22€600kGöztepe
2016-01-04€500kElazigspor
2016-07-14€850kGöztepe
2017-01-09€850kGöztepe
2017-06-30€1MGöztepe
2018-02-12€1MGöztepe
2018-05-29€1.4MGöztepe
2019-01-04€1.8MGöztepe
2019-06-04€1.6MGöztepe
2020-01-03€1.4MGöztepe
2020-04-08€1.1MGöztepe
2020-08-04€1.5MGöztepe
2020-12-23€2.8MGöztepe
2021-03-16€4MGöztepe
2021-05-25€4.8MGöztepe
2021-10-12€4.2MGöztepe
2022-01-04€3.8MGöztepe
2022-03-31€3.7MGöztepe
2022-06-01€3.5MGöztepe
2022-09-07€3MKVC Westerlo
2022-11-04€2.5MKVC Westerlo
2023-04-03€3MEyüpspor
2023-06-23€2.2MEyüpspor
2023-09-27€2MPendikspor
2023-12-21€1.7MPendikspor
2024-03-15€1.5MPendikspor
2024-05-31€1.4MPendikspor
2024-10-04€1.2MEyüpspor
2024-12-23€1MEyüpspor
2025-03-20€1MEyüpspor
2025-06-18€850kEyüpspor
2025-10-01€800kEyüpspor
2025-12-17€600kEyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.153

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Akbunar appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).