FairValue

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Dmitriy

Chistyakov

CBRussia · FC Rostov

№ 235339Emerging €794k −0.06

Player dossierPremier Liga

DmitriyChistyakov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
32
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chistyakov at €750k. Model A, which never saw Chistyakov during training, estimates €794k: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €436k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.06A €794k▲ +0.54B €436k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,726
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
33/36
Min / app
76
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chistyakov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €794k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dmitriy Chistyakov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 30th73rdGoals17thAssists47thMinutes75thStarts68thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player83% defender median75th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2012
Peak
€4M
Jun 2022
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
26
9 club changes
May 2026€750kFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-19€25kZenit St. Petersburg II
2015-08-25€100kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2015-12-08€125kMIKA Ashtarak
2016-07-01€150kShinnik Yaroslavl
2016-12-28€250kShinnik Yaroslavl
2017-06-01€400kShinnik Yaroslavl
2018-06-06€600kShinnik Yaroslavl
2018-12-20€600kFK Tambov
2019-06-14€800kFK Tambov
2019-09-10€1.5MFC Rostov
2019-12-23€2.8MFC Rostov
2020-04-08€2.2MFC Rostov
2020-07-29€2.5MFC Rostov
2020-12-29€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-06-02€2.8MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-12-29€3.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-06-02€4MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-11-21€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-06-14€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-12-13€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-06-04€1.8MFC Sochi
2024-09-18€1.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-12-12€1.2MZenit St. Petersburg
2025-06-04€900kZenit St. Petersburg
2025-12-16€800kFC Rostov
2026-05-26€750kFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.057

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 29% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 28% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chistyakov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).