FairValue

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Christian

Kabasele

CBBelgium · Udinese Calcio

№ 81512Emerging €766k −0.02

Player dossierSerie A

ChristianKabasele

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Udinese Calcio
League
Serie A
Nationality
Belgium
Age
35
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kabasele at €750k. Model A, which never saw Kabasele during training, estimates €766k: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €390k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.02A €766k▲ +0.65B €390k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
3,582
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
42/49
Min / app
73
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kabasele…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €766k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Christian Kabasele's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 93rd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 71st, European club minutes 30th93rdGoals17thAssists63rdMinutes57thStarts71stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.13 this player0.03 defender median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2008
Peak
€9M
Oct 2018
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
40
6 club changes
May 2026€750kUdinese CalcioValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-12-08€50kKAS Eupen
2010-02-09€25kKAS Eupen
2010-05-28€50kKAS Eupen
2010-07-30€100kKAS Eupen
2010-12-28€100kKAS Eupen
2011-03-18€200kKV Mechelen
2011-08-15€150kLudogorets Razgrad
2012-02-17€200kLudogorets Razgrad
2012-04-02€250kLudogorets Razgrad
2012-07-09€300kLudogorets Razgrad
2013-01-01€250kKAS Eupen
2014-10-05€800kKRC Genk
2015-01-07€2MKRC Genk
2015-03-24€3MKRC Genk
2015-10-22€3.5MKRC Genk
2016-02-07€6MKRC Genk
2016-06-01€6MKRC Genk
2016-08-01€6MWatford FC
2017-02-20€6MWatford FC
2017-06-28€5.5MWatford FC
2018-01-02€7MWatford FC
2018-05-28€7MWatford FC
2018-10-17€9MWatford FC
2018-12-19€9MWatford FC
2019-06-13€8MWatford FC
2019-12-10€8MWatford FC
2020-04-08€6.5MWatford FC
2020-10-15€5.5MWatford FC
2021-03-10€4MWatford FC
2021-06-30€4MWatford FC
2021-12-23€3MWatford FC
2022-06-15€3MWatford FC
2022-10-27€1.8MWatford FC
2023-06-01€1MWatford FC
2023-12-20€1.5MUdinese Calcio
2024-06-05€1MUdinese Calcio
2024-12-18€1MUdinese Calcio
2025-06-17€700kUdinese Calcio
2025-12-23€800kUdinese Calcio
2026-05-29€750kUdinese Calcio

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.022

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 28% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kabasele appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).