FairValue

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Davy

Klaassen

CMNetherlands · Ajax Amsterdam

№ 182932Established €1.1M +0.58

Player dossierEredivisie

DavyKlaassen

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Ajax Amsterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
33
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Klaassen at €2M. Model A, which never saw Klaassen during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 78% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.78. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.58A €1.1M▼ −0.09B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
4,839
Goals
14
Assists
4
Started
56/74
Min / app
65
Cards
2Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Klaassen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Davy Klaassen's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 78th, European club minutes 78th90thGoals41stAssists84thMinutes62ndStarts78thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.26 this player0.08 midfielder median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2011
Peak
€22M
Jun 2019
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
34
6 club changes
May 2026€2MAjax AmsterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-11-28€100kAjax Amsterdam U19
2012-01-05€750kAjax Amsterdam U19
2013-05-28€750kAjax Amsterdam
2014-02-11€3.5MAjax Amsterdam
2014-08-11€4.5MAjax Amsterdam
2015-02-16€7.5MAjax Amsterdam
2015-07-01€8.5MAjax Amsterdam
2016-02-05€10MAjax Amsterdam
2016-04-08€15MAjax Amsterdam
2016-07-15€15MAjax Amsterdam
2017-01-18€15MAjax Amsterdam
2017-06-07€18MAjax Amsterdam
2018-01-02€18MEverton FC
2018-05-28€15MEverton FC
2018-10-22€17MSV Werder Bremen
2018-12-18€20MSV Werder Bremen
2019-06-05€22MSV Werder Bremen
2019-12-17€22MSV Werder Bremen
2020-03-11€15MSV Werder Bremen
2020-04-08€12MSV Werder Bremen
2020-10-14€12MAjax Amsterdam
2021-03-09€14MAjax Amsterdam
2021-05-27€17MAjax Amsterdam
2022-01-05€15MAjax Amsterdam
2022-06-08€14MAjax Amsterdam
2022-09-14€12MAjax Amsterdam
2022-11-11€12MAjax Amsterdam
2023-06-23€10MAjax Amsterdam
2023-12-20€5MInter Milan
2024-06-05€4MInter Milan
2024-12-17€4MAjax Amsterdam
2025-05-28€3.5MAjax Amsterdam
2025-12-02€2.5MAjax Amsterdam
2026-05-28€2MAjax Amsterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.577

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 62% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Klaassen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).