
Steven
Berghuis
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierEredivisie
StevenBerghuis
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Ajax Amsterdam
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Berghuis at €2M. Model A, which never saw Berghuis during training, estimates €646k: the market value is 210% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 3,375
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 8
- Started
- 40/62
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Berghuis…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
22% this player0% attacker median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2011
- Peak
- €15M
- Jan 2022
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-01-17 | €50k | FC Twente Enschede U21 |
| 2011-06-15 | €150k | FC Twente Enschede U21 |
| 2011-09-07 | €600k | FC Twente Enschede |
| 2012-07-06 | €800k | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2013-06-12 | €800k | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2014-02-11 | €1M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2014-08-11 | €1.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2015-02-16 | €1.8M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2015-07-01 | €3.5M | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2015-10-14 | €5M | Watford FC |
| 2016-02-09 | €4M | Watford FC |
| 2017-01-18 | €4M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2017-06-07 | €5.5M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2017-10-26 | €6.5M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-01-17 | €9M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-06-12 | €12M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2018-12-28 | €12M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2019-06-12 | €12M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2019-09-19 | €13M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2019-12-18 | €13M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2020-03-12 | €14M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2020-04-08 | €11M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2020-10-14 | €14M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2021-03-09 | €12M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2021-05-27 | €12M | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 2021-10-04 | €14M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2022-01-05 | €15M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2022-06-08 | €14M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2022-11-11 | €14M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2023-06-23 | €12M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2023-10-17 | €9M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2023-12-15 | €8M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-05-31 | €6M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2024-12-17 | €5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-03-28 | €4M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-05-28 | €3.5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2025-12-02 | €2.5M | Ajax Amsterdam |
| 2026-05-28 | €2M | Ajax Amsterdam |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.130
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 62% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Berghuis appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KlaassenCMAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- OlijGKPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€2M
- WeghorstCFAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- SandlerCBNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€2M
- BatshuayiCFEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€2M
- WaldschmidtCF1.FC Köln · attackers€2M
- AyensaCFStandard Liège · attackers€2M
- ZinkovskiyLWFC Sochi · attackers€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
