FairValue

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Younes

Namli

RWDenmark · PEC Zwolle

№ 227039Emerging €492k +0.71

Player dossierEredivisie

YounesNamli

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
PEC Zwolle
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Denmark
Age
31
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Namli at €1M. Model A, which never saw Namli during training, estimates €492k: the market value is 103% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €631k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.71A €492k▲ +0.46B €631k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
2,497
Goals
6
Assists
7
Started
28/43
Min / app
58
Cards
4Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Namli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €492k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Younes Namli's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 61st, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 28th40thGoals83rdAssists56thMinutes61stStarts53rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.15 attacker median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2012
Peak
€3M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
32
9 club changes
May 2026€1MPEC ZwolleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, PEC Zwolle. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-19€25kAkademisk Boldklub U19
2013-12-27€100kAkademisk Boldklub
2014-06-27€150kAkademisk Boldklub
2014-12-19€250kAkademisk Boldklub
2015-02-16€250kSC Heerenveen
2015-07-01€450kSC Heerenveen
2016-02-05€400kSC Heerenveen
2016-07-15€400kSC Heerenveen
2017-01-18€1.3MSC Heerenveen
2017-06-07€900kSC Heerenveen
2018-01-17€1.5MPEC Zwolle
2018-03-27€2MPEC Zwolle
2018-06-12€2.5MPEC Zwolle
2018-12-28€2.5MPEC Zwolle
2019-06-12€3MPEC Zwolle
2019-12-23€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2020-04-08€2MColorado Rapids
2020-08-26€2MColorado Rapids
2020-12-18€2MColorado Rapids
2021-07-09€2MColorado Rapids
2021-11-09€1.5MColorado Rapids
2022-06-08€1.2MSparta Rotterdam
2022-11-11€1.2MSparta Rotterdam
2023-06-23€900kSparta Rotterdam
2023-12-15€1.3MPEC Zwolle
2024-03-18€1.6MPEC Zwolle
2024-05-31€1.6MPEC Zwolle
2024-12-17€1.6MPEC Zwolle
2025-05-28€1.3MPEC Zwolle
2025-10-10€1.2MLe Havre AC
2025-12-15€1MLe Havre AC
2026-05-28€1MPEC Zwolle

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.709

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 46% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Namli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).