FairValue

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Abdul Rahman

Baba

LBGhana · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 224884Established €3M −0.41

Player dossierSuper League

Abdul RahmanBaba

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Ghana
Age
31
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Baba at €2M. Model A, which never saw Baba during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.41A €3M▼ −0.67B €3.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
6,396
Goals
11
Assists
5
Started
68/81
Min / app
79
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Abdul Rahman Baba's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 96th, Assists per 90 67th, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 98th96thGoals67thAssists95thMinutes53rdStarts93rdRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

41% this player0% defender median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2012
Peak
€15M
Oct 2015
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
34
13 club changes
Jun 2026€2MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-06-12€100kAsante Kotoko SC
2012-06-14€150kAsante Kotoko SC
2013-01-29€400kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2013-03-11€1MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2013-06-30€1.5MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2014-01-20€1.5MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2014-06-30€1.5MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2014-08-21€3MFC Augsburg
2015-02-04€5MFC Augsburg
2015-07-01€10MFC Augsburg
2015-10-14€15MChelsea FC
2016-02-09€13MChelsea FC
2016-08-01€12MChelsea FC
2017-02-07€8MFC Schalke 04
2017-06-19€8MFC Schalke 04
2018-01-02€8MChelsea FC
2018-06-05€8MFC Schalke 04
2018-12-18€5MFC Schalke 04
2019-06-03€5MStade Reims
2019-12-20€3MRCD Mallorca
2020-04-08€2.4MRCD Mallorca
2020-10-13€2.4MChelsea FC
2021-05-30€2.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-11-24€2.5MReading FC
2022-05-13€2.2MReading FC
2022-09-14€2MReading FC
2022-10-27€1.8MReading FC
2023-06-01€1.2MChelsea FC
2023-12-20€1.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-05-30€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-12-18€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-05-23€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€2MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.406

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 79% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Baba appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).