Renato
Sanches
CMPortugal · Panathinaikos
Player dossierSuper League
RenatoSanches
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Panathinaikos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Sanches at €2M. Model A, which never saw Sanches during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 41
- Minutes
- 1,662
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 16/41
- Min / app
- 41
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sanches…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
50% this player0% midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €800k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €30M
- Jul 2016
- Model target
- €2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 9 club changes
Jun 2026: €2M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-31 | €800k | SL Benfica B |
| 2016-02-24 | €10M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-06-01 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-07-22 | €30M | Bayern Munich |
| 2017-02-07 | €30M | Bayern Munich |
| 2017-06-19 | €22M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-01-02 | €22M | Swansea City |
| 2018-05-28 | €20M | Swansea City |
| 2018-12-18 | €20M | Bayern Munich |
| 2019-06-05 | €18M | Bayern Munich |
| 2019-12-19 | €18M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-03-13 | €20M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-04-08 | €16M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-08-03 | €20M | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-10-15 | €20M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-01-07 | €28M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-06-01 | €30M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-12-16 | €30M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-05-30 | €28M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-11-02 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-03-27 | €20M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-06-27 | €15M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-10-11 | €14M | AS Roma |
| 2023-12-20 | €10M | AS Roma |
| 2024-03-12 | €8M | AS Roma |
| 2024-06-05 | €6.5M | AS Roma |
| 2024-12-19 | €5M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-03-31 | €4M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-05-30 | €3M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-12-12 | €2.5M | Panathinaikos |
| 2026-03-06 | €2M | Panathinaikos |
| 2026-06-04 | €2M | Panathinaikos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.308
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 79% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sanches appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KędzioraRBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- JedvajCBPanathinaikos · Super League€2M
- BabaLBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- JensenAMAris Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).