FairValue

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Portrait of Xaver Schlager

Xaver

Schlager

CMAustria · RB Leipzig

№ 223979Elite €7.9M +0.24

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

XaverSchlager

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
RB Leipzig
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Austria
Age
28
Height
174 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Schlager at €10M. Model A, which never saw Schlager during training, estimates €7.9M: the market value is 27% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.24A €7.9M▲ +1.84B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
2,267
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
25/35
Min / app
65
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schlager…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €7.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Xaver Schlager's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 62nd, Assists per 90 24th, Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 55th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 30th62ndGoals24thAssists42ndMinutes55thStarts66thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,067 this player1,541 midfielder median66th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2015
Peak
€28M
Oct 2023
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
30
3 club changes
May 2026€10MRB LeipzigValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, RB Leipzig. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-02-04€50kFC Liefering
2015-06-19€125kFC Liefering
2015-12-01€250kFC Liefering
2016-05-30€400kFC Liefering
2016-10-06€500kRed Bull Salzburg
2016-12-22€750kRed Bull Salzburg
2017-06-02€1.3MRed Bull Salzburg
2018-01-02€1.8MRed Bull Salzburg
2018-03-30€7MRed Bull Salzburg
2018-06-14€10MRed Bull Salzburg
2018-12-19€15MRed Bull Salzburg
2019-06-03€15MRed Bull Salzburg
2019-12-17€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2020-04-08€12MVfL Wolfsburg
2020-07-08€17MVfL Wolfsburg
2021-02-10€22MVfL Wolfsburg
2021-05-27€27MVfL Wolfsburg
2021-12-22€27MVfL Wolfsburg
2022-06-09€27MVfL Wolfsburg
2022-09-21€22MRB Leipzig
2022-11-09€22MRB Leipzig
2023-06-22€22MRB Leipzig
2023-10-18€28MRB Leipzig
2023-12-14€28MRB Leipzig
2024-05-29€28MRB Leipzig
2024-12-20€28MRB Leipzig
2025-03-27€18MRB Leipzig
2025-06-05€10MRB Leipzig
2025-12-19€10MRB Leipzig
2026-05-27€10MRB Leipzig

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.236

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schlager appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).