FairValue

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Guilherme

LBBrazil · Konyaspor

№ 217863Emerging €157k +0.24

Player dossierSüper Lig

Guilherme

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Konyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Brazil
Age
36
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Guilherme at €200k. Model A, which never saw Guilherme during training, estimates €157k: the market value is 27% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €197k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.24A €157k▲ +0.02B €197k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
4,950
Goals
0
Assists
9
Started
56/57
Min / app
87
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Guilherme…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €157k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Guilherme's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals90thAssists83rdMinutes92ndStarts63rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

98% this player83% defender median92nd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2011
Peak
€2.2M
Jun 2014
Model target
€200k
May 2026
Valuations
42
7 club changes
May 2026€200kKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €200k, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-08-01€150kSER Caxias do Sul (RS)
2012-04-01€325kConcordia Chiajna
2012-08-21€1MPetrolul Ploiesti
2012-12-12€1.2MPetrolul Ploiesti
2013-06-05€1.4MPetrolul Ploiesti
2013-12-30€1.8MPetrolul Ploiesti
2014-06-12€2.2MPetrolul Ploiesti
2014-10-01€1.3MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2015-01-13€700kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2015-06-01€1.1MSteaua Bucharest
2015-12-22€1MSteaua Bucharest
2017-01-21€750kBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
2017-07-05€750kJagiellonia Bialystok
2018-01-16€750kJagiellonia Bialystok
2018-07-03€900kJagiellonia Bialystok
2019-01-25€900kJagiellonia Bialystok
2019-06-29€900kJagiellonia Bialystok
2020-01-15€600kJagiellonia Bialystok
2020-04-08€475kKonyaspor
2020-08-04€400kKonyaspor
2020-12-23€600kKonyaspor
2021-03-16€700kKonyaspor
2021-05-21€850kKonyaspor
2021-10-12€950kKonyaspor
2022-01-04€1.2MKonyaspor
2022-03-31€1.4MKonyaspor
2022-06-01€1.5MKonyaspor
2022-10-27€1.4MKonyaspor
2023-03-14€1.2MKonyaspor
2023-06-08€1.2MKonyaspor
2023-09-27€1.1MKonyaspor
2023-12-21€1MKonyaspor
2024-03-15€800kKonyaspor
2024-05-31€700kKonyaspor
2024-10-04€650kKonyaspor
2024-12-23€650kKonyaspor
2025-03-20€550kKonyaspor
2025-06-18€475kKonyaspor
2025-10-01€450kKonyaspor
2025-12-17€400kKonyaspor
2026-03-05€300kKonyaspor
2026-05-21€200kKonyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.241

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 6% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Guilherme appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).