Guilherme
Player dossierSüper Lig
Guilherme
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Konyaspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Guilherme at €200k. Model A, which never saw Guilherme during training, estimates €157k: the market value is 27% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €197k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 4,950
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 9
- Started
- 56/57
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Guilherme…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
98% this player83% defender median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2011
- Peak
- €2.2M
- Jun 2014
- Model target
- €200k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 42
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €200k, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-08-01 | €150k | SER Caxias do Sul (RS) |
| 2012-04-01 | €325k | Concordia Chiajna |
| 2012-08-21 | €1M | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 2012-12-12 | €1.2M | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 2013-06-05 | €1.4M | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 2013-12-30 | €1.8M | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 2014-06-12 | €2.2M | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 2014-10-01 | €1.3M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2015-01-13 | €700k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2015-06-01 | €1.1M | Steaua Bucharest |
| 2015-12-22 | €1M | Steaua Bucharest |
| 2017-01-21 | €750k | Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza |
| 2017-07-05 | €750k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2018-01-16 | €750k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2018-07-03 | €900k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2019-01-25 | €900k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2019-06-29 | €900k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2020-01-15 | €600k | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2020-04-08 | €475k | Konyaspor |
| 2020-08-04 | €400k | Konyaspor |
| 2020-12-23 | €600k | Konyaspor |
| 2021-03-16 | €700k | Konyaspor |
| 2021-05-21 | €850k | Konyaspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €950k | Konyaspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €1.2M | Konyaspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €1.4M | Konyaspor |
| 2022-06-01 | €1.5M | Konyaspor |
| 2022-10-27 | €1.4M | Konyaspor |
| 2023-03-14 | €1.2M | Konyaspor |
| 2023-06-08 | €1.2M | Konyaspor |
| 2023-09-27 | €1.1M | Konyaspor |
| 2023-12-21 | €1M | Konyaspor |
| 2024-03-15 | €800k | Konyaspor |
| 2024-05-31 | €700k | Konyaspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €650k | Konyaspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €650k | Konyaspor |
| 2025-03-20 | €550k | Konyaspor |
| 2025-06-18 | €475k | Konyaspor |
| 2025-10-01 | €450k | Konyaspor |
| 2025-12-17 | €400k | Konyaspor |
| 2026-03-05 | €300k | Konyaspor |
| 2026-05-21 | €200k | Konyaspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.241
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 6% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Guilherme appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CaroleLBKayserispor · Süper Lig€200k
- YavruRBSamsunspor · Süper Lig€200k
- ŞahinerRBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€200k
- GüvençGKGalatasaray · Süper Lig€200k
- ZankaCBFC Copenhagen · defenders€200k
- BambaCBAngers SCO · defenders€200k
- ColemanRBEverton FC · defenders€200k
- NuytinckCBNEC Nijmegen · defenders€200k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
