FairValue

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Hidde

Jurjus

GKNetherlands · FC Groningen

№ 215551Emerging €289k −0.14

Player dossierEredivisie

HiddeJurjus

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Groningen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
32
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jurjus at €250k. Model A, which never saw Jurjus during training, estimates €289k: the market value is 13% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €451k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.14A €289k▼ −0.59B €451k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
907
Started
9/11
Min / app
82
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jurjus…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €289k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Hidde Jurjus's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 15th, Starts 1st, Minutes, last 365 days 23rd, European club minutes 32nd15thMinutes1stStarts23rdRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2013
Peak
€1M
Jan 2017
Model target
€250k
May 2026
Valuations
30
6 club changes
May 2026€250kFC GroningenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €250k, FC Groningen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-30€25kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2014-02-10€25kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2014-08-16€50kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2015-02-21€100kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2015-07-01€250kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2015-11-11€500kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2016-02-05€600kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2016-07-15€800kPSV Eindhoven
2017-01-18€1MPSV Eindhoven
2017-06-07€500kPSV Eindhoven
2018-01-17€900kRoda JC Kerkrade
2018-06-12€900kRoda JC Kerkrade
2018-12-28€800kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2019-06-12€700kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2020-04-08€550kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2020-06-29€625kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2020-09-11€550kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-01-20€550kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-03-26€450kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-06-14€450kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-10-12€450kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2022-01-12€450kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2022-06-23€475kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2023-07-04€450kFC Groningen
2024-01-08€450kFC Groningen
2024-06-10€500kFC Groningen
2024-12-17€400kFC Groningen
2025-05-28€300kFC Groningen
2025-12-02€250kFC Groningen
2026-05-28€250kFC Groningen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.144

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 5% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 13% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jurjus appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).