FairValue

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Yuriy

Lodygin

GKRussia · Levadiakos

№ 126360Emerging €180k +0.33

Player dossierSuper League

YuriyLodygin

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Russia
Age
36
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lodygin at €250k. Model A, which never saw Lodygin during training, estimates €180k: the market value is 39% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €140k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.33A €180k▲ +0.58B €140k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
3,149
Started
35/36
Min / app
87
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lodygin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €180k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Yuriy Lodygin's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 17th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 32nd58thMinutes17thStarts67thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,504 this player1,560 goalkeeper median67th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2009
Peak
€10M
Jun 2015
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
8 club changes
Jun 2026€250kLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-09-06€150kSkoda Xanthi
2010-01-18€150kSkoda Xanthi
2010-03-10€150kSkoda Xanthi
2011-07-01€150kSkoda Xanthi
2011-11-14€150kSkoda Xanthi
2012-02-26€200kSkoda Xanthi
2012-09-21€300kSkoda Xanthi
2013-02-10€500kSkoda Xanthi
2013-07-11€1MZenit St. Petersburg
2013-08-26€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2014-03-03€5MZenit St. Petersburg
2014-07-31€6.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2015-02-23€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2015-06-18€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-01-06€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-06-01€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-10-16€6MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-12-27€4MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-06-01€3.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-10-02€3MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-12-23€3MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-06-06€2.8MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-12-20€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-05-21€1.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-10-04€800kGaziantep FK
2020-01-03€500kGaziantep FK
2020-04-08€400kArsenal Tula
2020-07-29€600kArsenal Tula
2020-12-29€500kWithout Club
2021-05-30€500kPAS Giannina
2021-11-01€500kPAS Giannina
2022-06-09€500kPAS Giannina
2022-11-07€500kPanathinaikos
2023-05-22€500kPanathinaikos
2023-09-21€400kPanathinaikos
2023-12-20€400kPanathinaikos
2024-05-30€400kPanathinaikos
2024-12-18€350kPanathinaikos
2025-05-23€300kPanathinaikos
2025-12-12€300kLevadiakos
2026-06-04€250kLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.328

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 15% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 13% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lodygin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).