FairValue

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Virgil

Misidjan

LMSuriname · NEC Nijmegen

№ 214346Emerging €356k +0.12

Player dossierEredivisie

VirgilMisidjan

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
NEC Nijmegen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Suriname
Age
32
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Misidjan at €400k. Model A, which never saw Misidjan during training, estimates €356k: the market value is 13% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €301k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.12A €356k▲ +0.28B €301k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
744
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
7/20
Min / app
37
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Misidjan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €356k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Virgil Misidjan's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 7th, Starts 7th, Minutes, last 365 days 21st, European club minutes 30th63rdGoals91stAssists7thMinutes7thStarts21stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.09 midfielder median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2012
Peak
€6M
Dec 2018
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
30
7 club changes
May 2026€400kNEC NijmegenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-02-02€50kWillem II Tilburg
2012-07-25€400kWillem II Tilburg
2013-06-18€400kWillem II Tilburg
2013-08-19€1MLudogorets Razgrad
2013-10-21€2MLudogorets Razgrad
2013-12-27€3MLudogorets Razgrad
2015-07-27€3.5MLudogorets Razgrad
2015-12-17€3.4MLudogorets Razgrad
2016-08-01€3.4MLudogorets Razgrad
2017-01-28€3.6MLudogorets Razgrad
2017-08-23€3.6MLudogorets Razgrad
2018-02-09€5MLudogorets Razgrad
2018-12-18€6M1.FC Nuremberg
2019-06-05€3.5M1.FC Nuremberg
2019-12-13€2.5M1.FC Nuremberg
2020-04-08€2M1.FC Nuremberg
2020-07-15€1.2M1.FC Nuremberg
2020-11-18€1M1.FC Nuremberg
2021-05-19€1MPEC Zwolle
2022-01-05€800kFC Twente Enschede
2022-06-08€800kFC Twente Enschede
2022-11-11€1.3MFC Twente Enschede
2023-03-17€2MFC Twente Enschede
2023-06-23€3MFC Twente Enschede
2023-12-15€2.7MAl-Tai FC
2024-06-04€2.3MAl-Tai FC
2024-12-23€1.5MFerencvárosi TC
2025-05-28€700kFerencvárosi TC
2025-12-02€600kNEC Nijmegen
2026-05-28€400kNEC Nijmegen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.118

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Misidjan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).