Alberto
Cerri
CFItaly · Como 1907
Player dossierSerie A
AlbertoCerri
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Como 1907
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 194 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 23 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Cerri at €600k. Model A, which never saw Cerri during training, estimates €852k: the market value is 30% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €445k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 640
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 10/18
- Min / app
- 36
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cerri…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
56% this player59% attacker median44th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Apr 2013
- Peak
- €7.5M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €600k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 30
- 14 club changes
Dec 2025: €600k, Como 1907. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-16 | €400k | Unknown |
| 2013-10-25 | €800k | Parma FC |
| 2014-01-07 | €800k | Parma FC |
| 2014-03-10 | €2.5M | Parma FC |
| 2014-07-01 | €2.5M | Parma FC |
| 2015-02-10 | €3.5M | SS Virtus Lanciano |
| 2015-06-29 | €3.2M | SS Virtus Lanciano |
| 2015-12-28 | €2.7M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2016-06-13 | €2.6M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2016-12-19 | €2.2M | SPAL 2013 |
| 2017-06-08 | €2.5M | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2017-12-21 | €2.7M | AC Perugia Calcio |
| 2018-06-18 | €7.5M | AC Perugia Calcio |
| 2018-12-20 | €6.5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2019-06-06 | €6M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2019-12-12 | €4.5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.5M | SPAL |
| 2020-08-25 | €3M | SPAL |
| 2020-12-29 | €2.5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2021-06-03 | €1.5M | Cagliari Calcio |
| 2021-12-29 | €1.8M | Como 1907 |
| 2022-06-06 | €2M | Como 1907 |
| 2022-12-22 | €2M | Como 1907 |
| 2023-06-12 | €2M | Como 1907 |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.7M | Como 1907 |
| 2024-06-05 | €1.7M | FC Empoli |
| 2024-12-18 | €1.5M | Como 1907 |
| 2025-06-02 | €1M | US Salernitana 1919 |
| 2025-10-07 | €700k | Como 1907 |
| 2025-12-23 | €600k | Como 1907 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.351
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 3% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cerri appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SilvestriRBBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · Serie A€600k
- AlbiolCBPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€700k
- D'AmbrosioCBAC Monza · Serie A€700k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- AkbunarRWEyüpspor · attackers€600k
- SutorminRWKrylya Sovetov Samara · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).