FairValue

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Nicolas

Bürgy

CBSwitzerland · Odense Boldklub

№ 203895Emerging €676k +0.17

Player dossierSuperliga

NicolasBürgy

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Odense Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
30
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bürgy at €800k. Model A, which never saw Bürgy during training, estimates €676k: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €668k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.17A €676k▲ +0.18B €668k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
3,281
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
37/39
Min / app
84
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bürgy…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €676k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nicolas Bürgy's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 89th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 62nd, European club minutes 30th89thGoals17thAssists58thMinutes84thStarts62ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.11 this player0.03 defender median89th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2014
Peak
€900k
Dec 2024
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
26
10 club changes
May 2026€800kOdense BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Odense Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-15€50kBSC Young Boys U21
2015-12-18€250kFC Wohlen
2016-07-16€300kBSC Young Boys
2016-12-20€300kBSC Young Boys
2017-07-12€400kFC Thun
2018-01-08€400kFC Thun
2018-04-24€400kFC Thun
2018-07-12€700kBSC Young Boys
2019-01-21€700kFC Aarau
2019-06-04€500kFC Aarau
2020-01-06€500kBSC Young Boys
2020-04-08€400kBSC Young Boys
2020-07-31€400kBSC Young Boys
2020-12-28€400kBSC Young Boys
2021-06-16€400kSC Paderborn 07
2022-01-03€400kBSC Young Boys
2022-06-20€400kViborg FF
2022-09-13€450kViborg FF
2022-12-22€600kViborg FF
2023-06-26€750kViborg FF
2023-12-21€750kViborg FF
2024-06-10€850kViborg FF
2024-12-09€900kViborg FF
2025-06-16€900kOdense Boldklub
2025-12-15€800kOdense Boldklub
2026-05-25€800kOdense Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 46% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bürgy appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).