FairValue

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Kévin

Rodrigues

LBPortugal · Gaziantep FK

№ 206947Emerging €1.1M −0.33

Player dossierSüper Lig

KévinRodrigues

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Portugal
Age
32
Height
170 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rodrigues at €800k. Model A, which never saw Rodrigues during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €1.1M▼ −0.37B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
4,571
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
52/56
Min / app
82
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rodrigues…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Kévin Rodrigues's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 77th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 30th69thGoals71stAssists77thMinutes78thStarts73rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player83% defender median78th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Nov 2014
Peak
€5M
Dec 2018
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
33
9 club changes
May 2026€800kGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-11-20€250kDijon FCO
2015-06-06€150kDijon FCO
2016-08-01€300kReal Sociedad B
2017-02-02€300kReal Sociedad B
2017-06-30€300kReal Sociedad B
2017-08-17€1MReal Sociedad
2018-01-01€3MReal Sociedad
2018-05-30€2MReal Sociedad
2018-12-21€5MReal Sociedad
2019-06-11€3MReal Sociedad
2019-12-20€2.5MCD Leganés
2020-03-05€3MCD Leganés
2020-04-08€2.4MCD Leganés
2020-10-08€3.5MSD Eibar
2021-01-05€3.5MSD Eibar
2021-06-10€3.5MSD Eibar
2021-10-13€2.5MRayo Vallecano
2021-12-30€2MRayo Vallecano
2022-06-03€1.8MRayo Vallecano
2022-10-27€2.2MAdana Demirspor
2023-03-14€2.2MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€2.3MAdana Demirspor
2023-09-27€2.2MAdana Demirspor
2023-12-21€2MAdana Demirspor
2024-06-04€1.8MAl-Qadsiah FC
2024-10-04€1.6MKasimpasa
2024-12-23€1.5MKasimpasa
2025-03-20€1.5MKasimpasa
2025-06-18€1.3MKasimpasa
2025-10-01€1.2MGaziantep FK
2025-12-17€1.2MGaziantep FK
2026-03-05€1MGaziantep FK
2026-05-21€800kGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.334

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rodrigues appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).