FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Adam

Sørensen

LBDenmark · Odense Boldklub

№ 400537Emerging €893k −0.11

Player dossierSuperliga

AdamSørensen

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Odense Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
25
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sørensen at €800k. Model A, which never saw Sørensen during training, estimates €893k: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €893k▼ −0.28B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,538
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
20/23
Min / app
67
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sørensen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €893k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Adam Sørensen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 24th, Starts 61st, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 30th69thGoals99thAssists24thMinutes61stStarts46thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.29 this player0.04 defender median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jun 2018
Peak
€900k
Jun 2023
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
May 2026€800kOdense BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Odense Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-06-02€150kLyngby Boldklub U19
2018-12-21€150kLyngby Boldklub
2019-06-24€150kLyngby Boldklub
2019-12-22€100kLyngby Boldklub
2020-07-31€100kLyngby Boldklub
2020-12-23€50kLyngby Boldklub
2021-06-04€50kLyngby Boldklub
2021-10-06€300kLyngby Boldklub
2021-12-28€350kLyngby Boldklub
2022-06-20€400kLyngby Boldklub
2022-12-22€400kLyngby Boldklub
2023-06-29€900kFK Bodø/Glimt
2023-12-15€900kFK Bodø/Glimt
2024-06-12€900kFK Bodø/Glimt
2024-09-17€800kFK Bodø/Glimt
2024-12-12€750kFK Bodø/Glimt
2025-06-16€800kOdense Boldklub
2025-12-15€900kOdense Boldklub
2026-05-25€800kOdense Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.110

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 46% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sørensen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).