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Dimitrios

Goutas

CBGreece · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 191829Emerging €975k −0.20

Player dossierSüper Lig

DimitriosGoutas

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Greece
Age
32
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Goutas at €800k. Model A, which never saw Goutas during training, estimates €975k: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €939k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €975k▼ −0.16B €939k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,907
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
33/33
Min / app
88
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Goutas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €975k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dimitrios Goutas's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 84th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 87th, European club minutes 30th84thGoals44thAssists51stMinutes97thStarts87thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2012
Peak
€3M
Jun 2022
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
36
9 club changes
May 2026€800kGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-02-26€100kSkoda Xanthi
2012-09-21€100kSkoda Xanthi
2013-02-10€350kSkoda Xanthi
2013-12-02€600kSkoda Xanthi
2014-03-28€750kSkoda Xanthi
2014-11-11€900kSkoda Xanthi
2015-05-10€1MSkoda Xanthi
2015-09-27€1.3MOlympiacos Piraeus
2016-02-21€1MSkoda Xanthi
2016-06-21€800kSkoda Xanthi
2017-01-21€1MKV Kortrijk
2017-06-06€850kKV Kortrijk
2018-01-09€850kSint-Truidense VV
2018-06-03€700kSint-Truidense VV
2019-01-25€500kLech Poznan
2019-06-29€400kLech Poznan
2019-12-18€600kAtromitos Athens
2020-04-08€475kAtromitos Athens
2020-08-04€500kAtromitos Athens
2021-02-12€700kAtromitos Athens
2021-10-12€1.7MSivasspor
2022-01-04€2.5MSivasspor
2022-03-31€2.8MSivasspor
2022-06-01€3MSivasspor
2022-10-27€3MSivasspor
2023-03-14€3MSivasspor
2023-06-08€2.7MSivasspor
2023-10-27€3MCardiff City
2023-12-21€2.8MCardiff City
2024-05-24€2.8MCardiff City
2024-12-30€2MCardiff City
2025-05-27€1.2MCardiff City
2025-10-01€1MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-12-17€1MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-03-05€900kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€800kGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.198

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Goutas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).