Dimitrios
Goutas
Player dossierSüper Lig
DimitriosGoutas
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Genclerbirligi Ankara
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Greece
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Goutas at €800k. Model A, which never saw Goutas during training, estimates €975k: the market value is 18% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €939k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 2,907
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 33/33
- Min / app
- 88
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Goutas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2012
- Peak
- €3M
- Jun 2022
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 36
- 9 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-26 | €100k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2012-09-21 | €100k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2013-02-10 | €350k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2013-12-02 | €600k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2014-03-28 | €750k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2014-11-11 | €900k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2015-05-10 | €1M | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2015-09-27 | €1.3M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2016-02-21 | €1M | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2016-06-21 | €800k | Skoda Xanthi |
| 2017-01-21 | €1M | KV Kortrijk |
| 2017-06-06 | €850k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2018-01-09 | €850k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2018-06-03 | €700k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2019-01-25 | €500k | Lech Poznan |
| 2019-06-29 | €400k | Lech Poznan |
| 2019-12-18 | €600k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2020-04-08 | €475k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2020-08-04 | €500k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2021-02-12 | €700k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2021-10-12 | €1.7M | Sivasspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €2.5M | Sivasspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €2.8M | Sivasspor |
| 2022-06-01 | €3M | Sivasspor |
| 2022-10-27 | €3M | Sivasspor |
| 2023-03-14 | €3M | Sivasspor |
| 2023-06-08 | €2.7M | Sivasspor |
| 2023-10-27 | €3M | Cardiff City |
| 2023-12-21 | €2.8M | Cardiff City |
| 2024-05-24 | €2.8M | Cardiff City |
| 2024-12-30 | €2M | Cardiff City |
| 2025-05-27 | €1.2M | Cardiff City |
| 2025-10-01 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2025-12-17 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2026-03-05 | €900k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2026-05-21 | €800k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.198
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Goutas appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NiangCFGenclerbirligi Ankara · Süper Lig€800k
- UçanCMBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€800k
- WinckRBKasimpasa · Süper Lig€800k
- RodriguesLBGaziantep FK · Süper Lig€800k
- CaraccioloCBPisa Sporting Club · defenders€800k
- BianchettiCBUS Cremonese · defenders€800k
- WidmerRB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€800k
- RodineiRBOlympiacos Piraeus · defenders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).