FairValue

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Portrait of Abdülkerim Bardakcı

Abdülkerim

Bardakcı

CBTürkiye · Galatasaray

№ 199316Established €8.2M −0.23

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

AbdülkerimBardakcı

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Galatasaray
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bardakcı at €6.5M. Model A, which never saw Bardakcı during training, estimates €8.2M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.23A €8.2M▼ −0.04B €6.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
85
Minutes
7,251
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
85/85
Min / app
85
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bardakcı…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6.5MModel A €8.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Abdülkerim Bardakcı's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 57th, Minutes, two years 99th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 92nd64thGoals57thAssists99thMinutes97thStarts95thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

7,251 this player2,860 defender median99th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2011
Peak
€10M
Dec 2023
Model target
€6.5M
May 2026
Valuations
38
7 club changes
May 2026€6.5MGalatasarayValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6.5M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-12-29€100kKonyaspor
2012-06-22€100kKonyaspor
2013-01-06€100kKonyaspor
2013-06-16€100kKonyaspor
2014-07-09€75kKonyaspor
2015-01-05€500kAdana Demirspor
2015-06-08€1MAdana Demirspor
2016-01-18€1.6MKonyaspor
2016-07-15€1.8MKonyaspor
2017-01-10€1.5MKonyaspor
2017-06-30€1MKonyaspor
2018-02-05€350kGiresunspor
2018-05-30€250kGiresunspor
2019-01-07€500kDenizlispor
2019-06-17€500kDenizlispor
2020-02-04€500kAltay SK
2020-04-08€400kAltay SK
2020-12-23€1MKonyaspor
2021-03-16€1.5MKonyaspor
2021-05-21€1.7MKonyaspor
2021-10-12€2.4MKonyaspor
2022-01-04€3.7MKonyaspor
2022-03-31€4.2MKonyaspor
2022-06-01€5MKonyaspor
2022-09-13€4MGalatasaray
2022-10-27€4MGalatasaray
2023-03-14€5.5MGalatasaray
2023-06-08€6.5MGalatasaray
2023-09-27€7.5MGalatasaray
2023-12-21€10MGalatasaray
2024-03-15€9.5MGalatasaray
2024-05-31€9MGalatasaray
2024-10-04€7.5MGalatasaray
2024-12-23€7.5MGalatasaray
2025-03-20€7MGalatasaray
2025-06-18€7MGalatasaray
2025-12-17€6.5MGalatasaray
2026-05-21€6.5MGalatasaray

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.233

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 86% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bardakcı appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).