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Portrait of Federico Bernardeschi

Federico

Bernardeschi

RWItaly · Bologna FC 1909

№ 197300Established €2.7M +0.26

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

FedericoBernardeschi

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Bologna FC 1909
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
32
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bernardeschi at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Bernardeschi during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €2.7M▲ +0.45B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
2,119
Goals
9
Assists
2
Started
24/45
Min / app
47
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bernardeschi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Federico Bernardeschi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 97th74thGoals26thAssists48thMinutes40thStarts77thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

36% this player0% attacker median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Nov 2011
Peak
€45M
Oct 2018
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
37
5 club changes
May 2026€3.5MBologna FC 1909Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Bologna FC 1909. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-11-04€75kFiorentina Primavera
2012-02-29€100kFiorentina Primavera
2013-06-06€200kFiorentina Primavera
2014-01-29€1.2MFC Crotone
2014-07-15€3MACF Fiorentina
2014-11-08€4.5MACF Fiorentina
2015-01-07€4.5MACF Fiorentina
2015-07-01€4.5MACF Fiorentina
2015-11-05€6MACF Fiorentina
2016-01-04€15MACF Fiorentina
2016-06-01€16MACF Fiorentina
2016-07-15€16MACF Fiorentina
2017-01-02€24MACF Fiorentina
2017-06-08€30MACF Fiorentina
2017-12-29€30MJuventus FC
2018-03-24€40MJuventus FC
2018-06-07€40MJuventus FC
2018-10-12€45MJuventus FC
2018-12-20€45MJuventus FC
2019-06-06€45MJuventus FC
2019-12-12€40MJuventus FC
2020-03-03€35MJuventus FC
2020-04-08€28MJuventus FC
2020-08-25€25MJuventus FC
2020-12-29€20MJuventus FC
2021-05-25€15MJuventus FC
2021-12-28€15MJuventus FC
2022-06-07€10MJuventus FC
2022-08-18€8MToronto FC
2022-11-08€8MToronto FC
2023-08-22€6MToronto FC
2023-12-18€5MToronto FC
2024-06-13€4.5MToronto FC
2024-12-12€4MToronto FC
2025-06-05€3.5MToronto FC
2025-12-23€3.5MBologna FC 1909
2026-05-29€3.5MBologna FC 1909

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.265

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bernardeschi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).