FairValue

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Portrait of Danny Ings

Danny

Ings

CFEngland · Sheffield United

№ 134294Established €505k +1.94

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

DannyIngs

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Sheffield United
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
33
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Ings at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Ings during training, estimates €505k: the market value is 593% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×6.93. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €287k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.94A €505k▲ +2.50B €287k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
732
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
4/32
Min / app
23
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ings…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €505k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Danny Ings's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 1st, Minutes, last 365 days 5th, European club minutes 60th47thGoals82ndAssists10thMinutes1stStarts5thRecent60thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.15 attacker median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2010
Peak
€22M
Mar 2020
Model target
€3.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
37
7 club changes
Dec 2025€3.5MSheffield UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €3.5M, Sheffield United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-04-07€25kUnknown
2010-07-30€50kAFC Bournemouth
2011-05-01€75kAFC Bournemouth
2011-09-27€500kBurnley FC
2012-06-22€500kBurnley FC
2013-03-02€500kBurnley FC
2013-07-12€500kBurnley FC
2014-01-08€3MBurnley FC
2014-08-10€4MBurnley FC
2015-02-12€10MBurnley FC
2015-07-01€12MLiverpool FC
2016-02-09€12MLiverpool FC
2016-08-01€12MLiverpool FC
2017-02-20€10MLiverpool FC
2017-06-28€8MLiverpool FC
2018-01-02€8MLiverpool FC
2018-05-28€8MLiverpool FC
2018-10-17€10MSouthampton FC
2018-12-19€12MSouthampton FC
2019-06-13€15MSouthampton FC
2019-12-10€18MSouthampton FC
2020-03-09€22MSouthampton FC
2020-04-08€17.5MSouthampton FC
2020-07-30€20MSouthampton FC
2020-10-13€20MSouthampton FC
2021-03-18€22MSouthampton FC
2021-06-08€22MSouthampton FC
2021-12-23€22MAston Villa
2022-06-15€20MAston Villa
2022-11-03€16MAston Villa
2023-06-20€12MWest Ham United
2023-12-19€9MWest Ham United
2024-05-27€8MWest Ham United
2024-12-16€7MWest Ham United
2025-05-30€6MWest Ham United
2025-10-06€5MSheffield United
2025-12-03€3.5MSheffield United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.936

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 15% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ings appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).