FairValue

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Georgiy

Dzhikiya

CBRussia · Antalyaspor

№ 185024Emerging €449k +0.80

Player dossierSüper Lig

GeorgiyDzhikiya

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Antalyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Russia
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dzhikiya at €1M. Model A, which never saw Dzhikiya during training, estimates €449k: the market value is 123% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €540k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.80A €449k▲ +0.62B €540k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,645
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
31/34
Min / app
78
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dzhikiya…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €449k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Georgiy Dzhikiya's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 36th, European club minutes 30th74thGoals17thAssists46thMinutes73rdStarts36thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.07 this player0.03 defender median74th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
May 2011
Peak
€10M
Dec 2019
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
32
6 club changes
May 2026€1MAntalyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Antalyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-05-12€25kLokomotiv 2 Moskow
2014-03-28€50kSpartak Nalchik
2014-06-29€75kSpartak Nalchik
2015-06-11€150kKhimik Dzerzhinsk
2016-01-06€500kAmkar Perm
2016-05-25€750kAmkar Perm
2016-10-16€1MAmkar Perm
2016-12-27€2.5MAmkar Perm
2017-06-01€3.5MSpartak Moscow
2017-12-23€4MSpartak Moscow
2018-06-06€4.5MSpartak Moscow
2018-12-20€6MSpartak Moscow
2019-06-14€8.5MSpartak Moscow
2019-12-23€10MSpartak Moscow
2020-04-08€8MSpartak Moscow
2020-07-29€9MSpartak Moscow
2020-12-29€9.5MSpartak Moscow
2021-04-13€9MSpartak Moscow
2021-05-26€9MSpartak Moscow
2021-12-29€9MSpartak Moscow
2022-06-02€8MSpartak Moscow
2022-11-21€8MSpartak Moscow
2023-06-14€7.5MSpartak Moscow
2023-10-05€6.5MSpartak Moscow
2023-12-13€5MSpartak Moscow
2024-06-04€3.5MSpartak Moscow
2024-09-18€3MFC Khimki
2024-12-12€2.5MFC Khimki
2025-06-04€2MFC Khimki
2025-12-17€1.8MAntalyaspor
2026-03-05€1.5MAntalyaspor
2026-05-21€1MAntalyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.800

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 40% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dzhikiya appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).