FairValue

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Chimy

Ávila

CFArgentina · Real Betis Balompié

№ 167721Emerging €1.9M −0.45

Player dossierLaLiga

ChimyÁvila

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Argentina
Age
32
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ávila at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ávila during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €1.9M▼ −0.70B €2.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
1,888
Goals
7
Assists
4
Started
18/52
Min / app
36
Cards
10Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ávila…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Chimy Ávila's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 67th, Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 85th64thGoals67thAssists42ndMinutes15thStarts38thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

21% this player0% attacker median85th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2015
Peak
€15M
Dec 2019
Model target
€1.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
30
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1.2MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.2M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-14€300kCA San Lorenzo de Almagro
2016-02-06€300kCA San Lorenzo de Almagro
2016-08-08€300kCA San Lorenzo de Almagro
2017-02-13€400kCA San Lorenzo de Almagro
2017-08-17€400kSD Huesca
2018-01-01€400kSD Huesca
2018-05-30€750kSD Huesca
2018-08-29€2MSD Huesca
2018-12-21€1.8MSD Huesca
2019-02-28€3MSD Huesca
2019-06-11€5MSD Huesca
2019-12-20€15MCA Osasuna
2020-04-08€12MCA Osasuna
2020-10-08€10MCA Osasuna
2021-01-05€10MCA Osasuna
2021-06-10€10MCA Osasuna
2021-10-13€9MCA Osasuna
2021-12-30€9MCA Osasuna
2022-06-03€8MCA Osasuna
2022-09-23€10MCA Osasuna
2022-11-07€10MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€9MCA Osasuna
2023-10-13€5MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€3.5MCA Osasuna
2024-06-07€3MReal Betis Balompié
2024-12-27€2.8MReal Betis Balompié
2025-03-21€2.5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€2MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€1.5MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€1.2MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.452

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 15% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ávila appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).