FairValue

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Anastasios

Bakasetas

AMGreece · Panathinaikos

№ 162571Established €1.5M +0.71

Player dossierSuper League

AnastasiosBakasetas

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Panathinaikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
32
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bakasetas at €3M. Model A, which never saw Bakasetas during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 104% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.71A €1.5M▲ +0.75B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
4,600
Goals
12
Assists
8
Started
55/69
Min / app
67
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bakasetas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Anastasios Bakasetas's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 73rd, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 84th, European club minutes 97th87thGoals73rdAssists82ndMinutes70thStarts84thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

32% this player0% midfielder median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2010
Peak
€11M
Oct 2022
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
40
7 club changes
Jun 2026€3MPanathinaikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-09-23€100kAsteras Tripolis
2011-07-01€250kAsteras Tripolis
2011-11-14€300kAsteras Tripolis
2012-02-26€350kAsteras Tripolis
2012-09-21€500kAsteras Tripolis
2013-02-10€500kAsteras Tripolis
2014-03-28€500kAris Thessaloniki
2014-11-11€500kAsteras Tripolis
2015-05-10€500kPanionios FC
2015-09-27€500kPanionios FC
2016-02-21€700kPanionios FC
2016-06-21€900kPanionios FC
2016-12-21€1MAEK Athens
2017-05-11€1MAEK Athens
2017-12-18€1MAEK Athens
2018-05-22€1.5MAEK Athens
2018-12-07€1.5MAEK Athens
2019-05-21€1.5MAEK Athens
2020-01-03€2.6MAlanyaspor
2020-04-08€2MAlanyaspor
2020-08-04€3MAlanyaspor
2020-12-23€5MAlanyaspor
2021-03-16€6.5MTrabzonspor
2021-05-21€7MTrabzonspor
2021-10-12€10MTrabzonspor
2022-01-04€10MTrabzonspor
2022-03-31€10MTrabzonspor
2022-06-01€9.5MTrabzonspor
2022-10-27€11MTrabzonspor
2023-03-14€11MTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€10MTrabzonspor
2023-09-27€10MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€9MTrabzonspor
2024-03-06€7MPanathinaikos
2024-05-30€6MPanathinaikos
2024-09-26€5MPanathinaikos
2024-12-18€4.5MPanathinaikos
2025-05-23€4MPanathinaikos
2025-12-12€3.5MPanathinaikos
2026-06-04€3MPanathinaikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.713

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 86% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bakasetas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).