FairValue

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Andreas

Hansen

GKDenmark · FC Nordsjaelland

№ 162101Emerging €643k +0.44

Player dossierSuperliga

AndreasHansen

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Nordsjaelland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
30
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hansen at €1M. Model A, which never saw Hansen during training, estimates €643k: the market value is 55% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €634k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €643k▲ +0.46B €634k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
3,990
Started
44/44
Min / app
91
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hansen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €643k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Andreas Hansen's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 57th, European club minutes 32nd67thMinutes62ndStarts57thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,990 this player2,790 goalkeeper median67th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2013
Peak
€1.3M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
27
4 club changes
May 2026€1MFC NordsjaellandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, FC Nordsjaelland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-09-17€50kBröndby IF U19
2014-08-31€50kBröndby IF
2015-02-06€50kBröndby IF
2015-09-02€50kBröndby IF
2016-01-21€50kBröndby IF
2016-08-12€100kHB Köge
2016-12-12€200kHB Köge
2017-06-21€300kHB Köge
2017-12-18€300kHB Köge
2018-06-07€300kHB Köge
2018-12-21€250kHB Köge
2019-06-24€250kHB Köge
2019-12-22€250kAalborg BK
2020-07-31€300kAalborg BK
2020-12-23€300kAalborg BK
2021-06-04€300kAalborg BK
2021-12-28€300kAalborg BK
2022-06-20€300kFC Nordsjaelland
2022-09-13€400kFC Nordsjaelland
2022-12-22€500kFC Nordsjaelland
2023-06-26€600kFC Nordsjaelland
2023-12-21€700kFC Nordsjaelland
2024-06-10€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2024-12-09€1.3MFC Nordsjaelland
2025-06-16€1.3MFC Nordsjaelland
2025-12-15€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2026-05-25€1MFC Nordsjaelland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.441

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 57% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 48% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hansen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).