FairValue

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Maxime

Colin

RBFrance · FC Metz

№ 156618Emerging €348k −0.33

Player dossierLigue 1

MaximeColin

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Metz
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
34
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Colin at €250k. Model A, which never saw Colin during training, estimates €348k: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €398k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €348k▼ −0.46B €398k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,692
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
18/22
Min / app
77
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Colin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €348k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Maxime Colin's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists27thMinutes49thStarts50thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,692 this player1,687 defender median50th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2010
Peak
€3.5M
Feb 2020
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
5 club changes
Jun 2026€250kFC MetzValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-08-01€150kUS Boulogne
2010-10-24€500kUS Boulogne
2011-02-04€900kUS Boulogne
2011-05-30€900kUS Boulogne
2011-12-25€900kUS Boulogne
2012-06-01€900kUS Boulogne
2012-08-13€500kUS Boulogne
2013-01-07€750kESTAC Troyes
2013-05-30€800kESTAC Troyes
2014-01-13€1MESTAC Troyes
2014-10-05€1.2MRSC Anderlecht
2015-01-07€1.5MRSC Anderlecht
2015-09-24€1.5MBrentford FC
2016-04-20€1.5MBrentford FC
2016-09-01€1.5MBrentford FC
2017-02-27€1.5MBrentford FC
2017-09-18€2.5MBirmingham City
2018-02-27€2.5MBirmingham City
2018-09-24€2.5MBirmingham City
2019-06-28€3MBirmingham City
2020-02-27€3.5MBirmingham City
2020-04-08€2.8MBirmingham City
2020-10-15€2.8MBirmingham City
2021-03-10€2.5MBirmingham City
2021-06-30€2.5MBirmingham City
2021-11-24€1.8MBirmingham City
2022-05-13€1.5MBirmingham City
2022-10-27€1.5MBirmingham City
2023-06-01€1.2MBirmingham City
2023-12-18€1MFC Metz
2024-06-03€900kFC Metz
2024-10-03€800kFC Metz
2024-12-04€600kFC Metz
2025-03-12€400kFC Metz
2025-06-02€300kFC Metz
2025-12-15€300kFC Metz
2026-06-01€250kFC Metz

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.330

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 1% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Colin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).