FairValue

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Sebastian

Mladen

CBRomania · Panetolikos

№ 96790Emerging €97k +0.95

Player dossierSuper League

SebastianMladen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Panetolikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Romania
Age
34
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mladen at €250k. Model A, which never saw Mladen during training, estimates €97k: the market value is 157% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €188k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.95A €97k▲ +0.29B €188k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
1,453
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
16/21
Min / app
69
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mladen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €97k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Sebastian Mladen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 7th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists22ndMinutes37thStarts7thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

76% this player83% defender median37th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2009
Peak
€1M
Jun 2019
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
9 club changes
Jun 2026€250kPanetolikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Panetolikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-11-18€50kAS Rom Youth
2011-06-15€75kRoma U19
2012-01-10€200kAFC Chindia Targoviste
2012-08-21€350kFC Viitorul Constanta
2012-12-12€400kFC Viitorul Constanta
2013-06-05€400kFC Viitorul Constanta
2014-01-06€300kSC Olhanense
2014-07-15€275kAS Roma
2015-01-20€250kFC Südtirol-Alto Adige
2015-06-19€250kFC Südtirol-Alto Adige
2016-01-14€250kFC Südtirol-Alto Adige
2016-06-15€200kFC Südtirol-Alto Adige
2016-12-21€100kFC Südtirol-Alto Adige
2017-06-17€100kFC Viitorul Constanta
2017-09-29€250kFC Viitorul Constanta
2017-12-27€500kFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-06-14€800kFC Viitorul Constanta
2018-12-23€800kFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-06-18€1MFC Viitorul Constanta
2019-12-21€850kFC Viitorul Constanta
2020-04-08€675kFC Viitorul Constanta
2020-08-05€700kFC Viitorul Constanta
2020-12-18€700kFC Viitorul Constanta
2021-06-03€700kFC Viitorul Constanta
2021-12-22€600kFCV Farul Constanta
2022-06-03€600kFCV Farul Constanta
2022-11-07€600kPanetolikos
2023-05-22€600kPanetolikos
2023-09-21€500kPanetolikos
2023-12-20€500kPanetolikos
2024-05-30€450kPanetolikos
2024-12-18€400kPanetolikos
2025-05-23€350kPanetolikos
2025-12-12€300kPanetolikos
2026-06-04€250kPanetolikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.946

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 15% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mladen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).