FairValue

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Matías

Dituro

GKArgentina · Elche CF

№ 144128Emerging €377k −1.33

Player dossierLaLiga

MatíasDituro

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Elche CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Argentina
Age
39
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dituro at €100k. Model A, which never saw Dituro during training, estimates €377k: the market value is 73% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.77. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €312k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.33A €377k▼ −1.14B €312k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
2,370
Started
26/26
Min / app
91
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dituro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €377k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Matías Dituro's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 32nd44thMinutes62ndStarts66thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,370 this player1,560 goalkeeper median66th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2016
Peak
€1M
Mar 2021
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
5 club changes
Jun 2026€100kElche CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, Elche CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-11€400kDeportes Antofagasta
2018-06-03€525kCD Universidad Católica
2019-05-22€525kCD Universidad Católica
2019-12-07€600kCD Universidad Católica
2020-04-08€475kCD Universidad Católica
2020-11-10€750kCD Universidad Católica
2021-03-11€1MCD Universidad Católica
2021-10-13€1MCelta de Vigo
2021-12-30€1MCelta de Vigo
2022-06-03€1MCelta de Vigo
2022-11-15€1MCD Universidad Católica
2023-04-04€1MCD Universidad Católica
2023-07-20€800kCD Universidad Católica
2023-09-27€700kFatih Karagümrük
2023-12-21€550kFatih Karagümrük
2024-03-26€500kElche CF
2024-06-24€300kElche CF
2024-12-13€250kElche CF
2025-03-27€200kElche CF
2025-06-24€200kElche CF
2025-12-12€200kElche CF
2026-06-05€100kElche CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.328

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

The joint lowest observed value among 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dituro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).