FairValue

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Nils

Zätterström

CBSweden · Genoa CFC

№ 1191520Established €4.6M −0.28

Player dossierSerie A

NilsZätterström

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Genoa CFC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Sweden
Age
21
Height
192 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zätterström at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Zätterström during training, estimates €4.6M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.28A €4.6M▼ −0.58B €6.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
15
Minutes
1,168
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
12/15
Min / app
78
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zätterström…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nils Zätterström's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 100th79thGoals70thAssists16thMinutes44thStarts6thRecent100thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

85% this player0% defender median100th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€2.5M
Sept 2024
Peak
€3.5M
May 2026
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
5
2 club changes
May 2026€3.5MGenoa CFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Genoa CFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-09-26€2.5MMalmö FF
2024-12-20€3MMalmö FF
2025-06-18€3MMalmö FF
2025-12-03€3MSheffield United
2026-05-29€3.5MGenoa CFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.280

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zätterström appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).