Lukas
Klostermann
CBGermany · RB Leipzig
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
LukasKlostermann
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- RB Leipzig
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Klostermann at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Klostermann during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 92% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.92. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €602k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 42
- Minutes
- 2,203
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 24/42
- Min / app
- 52
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Klostermann…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
2% this player0% defender median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Mar 2014
- Peak
- €38M
- Sept 2020
- Model target
- €3.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 37
- 1 club change
May 2026: €3.5M, RB Leipzig. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-28 | €100k | VfL Bochum |
| 2014-06-30 | €350k | VfL Bochum |
| 2015-01-13 | €350k | RB Leipzig |
| 2015-03-29 | €500k | RB Leipzig |
| 2015-07-01 | €1M | RB Leipzig |
| 2015-10-22 | €1.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2016-02-11 | €2M | RB Leipzig |
| 2016-07-22 | €3M | RB Leipzig |
| 2017-02-07 | €3M | RB Leipzig |
| 2017-06-19 | €3M | RB Leipzig |
| 2017-10-18 | €5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2017-12-28 | €7.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2018-04-04 | €12M | RB Leipzig |
| 2018-06-05 | €12M | RB Leipzig |
| 2018-12-18 | €16M | RB Leipzig |
| 2019-03-06 | €22M | RB Leipzig |
| 2019-06-05 | €30M | RB Leipzig |
| 2019-12-17 | €35M | RB Leipzig |
| 2020-04-08 | €28M | RB Leipzig |
| 2020-07-08 | €35M | RB Leipzig |
| 2020-09-16 | €38M | RB Leipzig |
| 2021-02-10 | €32M | RB Leipzig |
| 2021-06-01 | €27M | RB Leipzig |
| 2021-12-22 | €23M | RB Leipzig |
| 2022-06-09 | €18M | RB Leipzig |
| 2022-09-21 | €14M | RB Leipzig |
| 2022-11-09 | €14M | RB Leipzig |
| 2023-03-29 | €12M | RB Leipzig |
| 2023-06-22 | €12M | RB Leipzig |
| 2023-10-18 | €8M | RB Leipzig |
| 2023-12-14 | €8M | RB Leipzig |
| 2024-05-29 | €8M | RB Leipzig |
| 2024-12-20 | €8M | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-06-05 | €8M | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-10-14 | €5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-12-19 | €3.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2026-05-27 | €3.5M | RB Leipzig |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.653
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 37% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Klostermann appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TabakovicCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€3.5M
- PrömelCMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga€3.5M
- ÖzcanDMBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€3.5M
- FellhauerDMFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€3.5M
- SpinazzolaLBSSC Napoli · defenders€3.5M
- DunkCBBrighton & Hove Albion · defenders€3.5M
- KempfCBComo 1907 · defenders€3.5M
- OlazaLBFC Krasnodar · defenders€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).