Danny
Wilson
CBScotland · Livingston FC
Player dossierPremiership
DannyWilson
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Livingston FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Wilson at €100k. Model A, which never saw Wilson during training, estimates €69k: the market value is 45% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €156k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 2,372
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 27/28
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wilson…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player83% defender median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Feb 2009
- Peak
- €2M
- Aug 2011
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €100k, Livingston FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-02-25 | €250k | Rangers FC U20 |
| 2009-11-11 | €500k | Rangers FC |
| 2010-03-04 | €1M | Rangers FC |
| 2010-08-13 | €1.5M | Liverpool FC |
| 2011-02-01 | €1.5M | Liverpool FC |
| 2011-08-08 | €2M | Liverpool FC |
| 2012-06-24 | €1.5M | Liverpool FC |
| 2013-07-02 | €1.5M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2013-10-08 | €1M | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2014-02-13 | €750k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2014-10-06 | €500k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2015-11-16 | €500k | Rangers FC |
| 2017-02-14 | €500k | Rangers FC |
| 2018-01-18 | €700k | Rangers FC |
| 2018-05-02 | €700k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2018-12-15 | €700k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2019-05-27 | €575k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2019-11-30 | €600k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2020-04-08 | €475k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2020-08-26 | €550k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2020-12-18 | €500k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2021-07-09 | €700k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2021-11-09 | €800k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2022-08-18 | €800k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2022-11-08 | €800k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2023-08-22 | €800k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2023-12-18 | €800k | Colorado Rapids |
| 2024-06-21 | €400k | Queen's Park FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €200k | Livingston FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €150k | Livingston FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €125k | Livingston FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €100k | Livingston FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.369
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 7% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Wilson appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BainGKFalkirk FC · Premiership€100k
- ShinnieDMAberdeen FC · Premiership€100k
- HoltCMSt. Johnstone FC · Premiership€100k
- GallagherCBRoss County FC · Premiership€100k
- FonteCBCasa Pia AC · defenders€100k
- NeustädterCBKVC Westerlo · defenders€100k
- SarıCBAntalyaspor · defenders€100k
- DalsgaardRBAarhus GF · defenders€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).