FairValue

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Maksim

Boldyrev

LWRussia · Akron Tolyatti

№ 1033394Emerging €1.4M −0.18

Player dossierPremier Liga

MaksimBoldyrev

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Akron Tolyatti
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
22
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Boldyrev at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Boldyrev during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €1.4M▼ −0.39B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
2,058
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
23/32
Min / app
64
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boldyrev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Maksim Boldyrev's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 19th, Assists per 90 61st, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 28th19thGoals61stAssists46thMinutes71stStarts68thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

72% this player59% attacker median71st percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Dec 2022
Peak
€1.2M
May 2026
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
10
1 club change
May 2026€1.2MAkron TolyattiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-12-02€125kMetallurg Lipetsk
2023-06-26€150kMetallurg Lipetsk
2023-11-21€200kMetallurg Lipetsk
2024-06-14€175kAkron Tolyatti
2024-12-12€150kAkron Tolyatti
2025-06-04€150kAkron Tolyatti
2025-09-18€500kAkron Tolyatti
2025-12-16€700kAkron Tolyatti
2026-03-25€1MAkron Tolyatti
2026-05-26€1.2MAkron Tolyatti

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.177

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 51% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Boldyrev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).