Baran
Gezek
Player dossierSüper Lig
BaranGezek
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Eyüpspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Gezek at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Gezek during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 37
- Minutes
- 2,368
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 26/37
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gezek…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
70% this player69% midfielder median52nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2022
- Peak
- €1.5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €1.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 1 club change
May 2026: €1.5M, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-05 | €50k | Kayserispor |
| 2022-10-27 | €75k | Kayserispor |
| 2023-03-14 | €150k | Kayserispor |
| 2023-06-08 | €150k | Kayserispor |
| 2023-09-27 | €300k | Kayserispor |
| 2023-12-21 | €400k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-03-15 | €400k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-05-31 | €400k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-10-04 | €750k | Kayserispor |
| 2024-12-23 | €900k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-03-20 | €900k | Kayserispor |
| 2025-06-18 | €1.3M | Kayserispor |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.2M | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-12-17 | €1M | Eyüpspor |
| 2026-05-21 | €1.5M | Eyüpspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.150
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gezek appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AyhanDMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€1.5M
- SatkaCBSamsunspor · Süper Lig€1.5M
- BazoerCBKonyaspor · Süper Lig€1.5M
- SoweCFCaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig€1.5M
- HofmannAMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€1.5M
- PraetCMRoyal Antwerp FC · midfielders€1.5M
- NielsenCMStandard Liège · midfielders€1.5M
- MárioAMAEK Athens · midfielders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
