Serdar
Gürler
LWTürkiye · Eyüpspor
Player dossierSüper Lig
SerdarGürler
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Eyüpspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 17 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Gürler at €150k. Model A, which never saw Gürler during training, estimates €373k: the market value is 60% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €404k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 41
- Minutes
- 2,206
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 26/41
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gürler…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
3% this player0% attacker median61st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Jul 2010
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Feb 2018
- Model target
- €150k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 42
- 13 club changes
Dec 2025: €150k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-07-16 | €150k | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard |
| 2011-05-24 | €150k | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard |
| 2011-12-24 | €150k | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard |
| 2012-05-23 | €150k | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard |
| 2013-01-06 | €400k | Elazigspor |
| 2013-06-13 | €1M | Elazigspor |
| 2014-01-27 | €1.5M | Elazigspor |
| 2014-07-23 | €2.3M | Trabzonspor |
| 2015-01-26 | €2.3M | Kayseri Erciyesspor |
| 2015-06-25 | €2M | Kayseri Erciyesspor |
| 2015-10-08 | €1.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2016-01-18 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2016-07-15 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2017-01-10 | €2M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2017-06-09 | €2.5M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2018-02-12 | €3.5M | Osmanlispor FK |
| 2018-05-29 | €3.5M | Osmanlispor FK |
| 2018-10-31 | €2.5M | SD Huesca |
| 2018-12-21 | €2M | SD Huesca |
| 2019-06-04 | €1.5M | Göztepe |
| 2020-01-03 | €1.5M | Göztepe |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Göztepe |
| 2020-08-04 | €1.2M | SD Huesca |
| 2020-12-23 | €1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-03-16 | €1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-05-21 | €1.1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €1M | Konyaspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €1.8M | Konyaspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €1.9M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-06-01 | €1.8M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2022-10-27 | €2.2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2023-03-14 | €2.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2023-06-08 | €2.3M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2023-09-27 | €2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2023-12-21 | €1.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2024-03-15 | €1.1M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2024-05-31 | €800k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2024-10-04 | €600k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2024-12-23 | €500k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-03-20 | €300k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €150k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €150k | Eyüpspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.910
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 4% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gürler appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ClaroCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- NwakaemeLWTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€150k
- İlterDMEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- PehlivanLBMKE Ankaragücü · Süper Lig€150k
- MachedaCFAsteras Aktor · attackers€150k
- WattCFPartick Thistle FC · attackers€150k
- TomanéCFAvs Futebol · attackers€150k
- MedynskyiRWObolon Kyiv · attackers€150k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).