Luccas
Claro
Player dossierSüper Lig
LuccasClaro
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Eyüpspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Claro at €150k. Model A, which never saw Claro during training, estimates €182k: the market value is 18% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €249k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 51
- Minutes
- 4,388
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 49/51
- Min / app
- 86
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Claro…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player83% defender median87th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Apr 2011
- Peak
- €2.3M
- May 2015
- Model target
- €150k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €150k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-04-18 | €50k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2011-05-30 | €50k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2011-12-08 | €150k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2012-05-24 | €150k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2012-07-29 | €200k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2012-12-06 | €400k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2014-08-07 | €600k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2015-02-01 | €2M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2015-05-31 | €2.3M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2015-12-15 | €1M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2016-05-27 | €750k | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2017-01-10 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2017-06-09 | €1M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2018-02-12 | €750k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2018-05-29 | €550k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-01-07 | €700k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-06-17 | €500k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-11-27 | €500k | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-04-08 | €400k | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-09-09 | €900k | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-02-09 | €1M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-05-28 | €1.2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-12-17 | €1.2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-04-06 | €1.2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-11-15 | €700k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-04-03 | €600k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-06-23 | €600k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-10-20 | €600k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-12-29 | €550k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-03-26 | €500k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-06-13 | €450k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-03-20 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-06-18 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2025-12-17 | €300k | Eyüpspor |
| 2026-03-05 | €200k | Eyüpspor |
| 2026-05-21 | €150k | Eyüpspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.196
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 4% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Claro appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GürlerLWEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- NwakaemeLWTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€150k
- İlterDMEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- PehlivanLBMKE Ankaragücü · Süper Lig€150k
- OdoiCBNAC Breda · defenders€150k
- LampropoulosCBOFI Crete · defenders€150k
- KolodziejczakCBParis FC · defenders€150k
- MarinakisRBOFI Crete · defenders€150k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).