İbrahim
Pehlivan
LBTürkiye · MKE Ankaragücü
Player dossierSüper Lig
İbrahimPehlivan
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- MKE Ankaragücü
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jan 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pehlivan at €150k. Model A, which never saw Pehlivan during training, estimates €115k: the market value is 30% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €236k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 17
- Minutes
- 663
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 7/17
- Min / app
- 39
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pehlivan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Jan 2015
- Peak
- €750k
- Jun 2015
- Model target
- €150k
- Jan 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 5 club changes
Jan 2026: €150k, MKE Ankaragücü. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-01-26 | €500k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2015-06-25 | €750k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2016-01-18 | €550k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2016-07-15 | €450k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2017-01-10 | €300k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2017-06-09 | €250k | Adanaspor |
| 2018-02-12 | €250k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2018-05-29 | €200k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-01-07 | €50k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-06-17 | €50k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-01-03 | €175k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-08-04 | €750k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-12-23 | €450k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2021-03-16 | €375k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2021-05-21 | €400k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2021-10-12 | €550k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2022-01-04 | €625k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2022-03-31 | €575k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2022-06-01 | €500k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2022-10-27 | €400k | Gaziantep FK |
| 2023-04-03 | €425k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-06-23 | €425k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-09-27 | €425k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-12-21 | €400k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-03-15 | €325k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-05-31 | €375k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-10-04 | €275k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-12-23 | €275k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-04-02 | €225k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2025-06-25 | €200k | MKE Ankaragücü |
| 2026-01-05 | €150k | MKE Ankaragücü |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.262
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 4% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pehlivan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GürlerLWEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- ClaroCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- NwakaemeLWTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€150k
- İlterDMEyüpspor · Süper Lig€150k
- OdoiCBNAC Breda · defenders€150k
- LampropoulosCBOFI Crete · defenders€150k
- KolodziejczakCBParis FC · defenders€150k
- MarinakisRBOFI Crete · defenders€150k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).