FairValue

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Anthony

Valencia

RWEcuador · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 974374Emerging €1.3M +0.31

Player dossierPro League

AnthonyValencia

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Ecuador
Age
22
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Valencia at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Valencia during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 36% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.31A €1.3M▼ −0.01B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
2,189
Goals
6
Assists
4
Started
20/49
Min / app
45
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Valencia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Anthony Valencia's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 57th, Minutes, two years 49th, Starts 22nd, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 28th47thGoals57thAssists49thMinutes22ndStarts51stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.16 this player0.15 attacker median57th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2020
Peak
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
2 club changes
Jun 2026€1.8MRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-30€50kIndependiente Juniors
2021-12-30€150kIndependiente Juniors
2022-06-20€800kIndependiente del Valle
2022-09-07€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-11-04€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-06-09€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-12-19€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2024-06-04€800kRoyal Antwerp FC
2024-12-11€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-10€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€1.8MRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.306

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 47% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 43% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Valencia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).