Ciro
Immobile
CFItaly · Paris FC
Player dossierLigue 1
CiroImmobile
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Paris FC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Immobile at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Immobile during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 13% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €863k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 59
- Minutes
- 3,531
- Goals
- 19
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 44/59
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Immobile…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.48 this player0.26 attacker median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Nov 2009
- Peak
- €50M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €1.8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 47
- 13 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.8M, Paris FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-17 | €150k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2010-10-20 | €300k | AC Siena |
| 2011-06-07 | €300k | US Grosseto FC |
| 2011-12-02 | €400k | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2012-01-01 | €1M | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2012-02-02 | €4.5M | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2012-06-06 | €6.5M | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2013-01-14 | €7.5M | Genoa CFC |
| 2013-06-19 | €7M | Genoa CFC |
| 2014-01-07 | €8.5M | Torino FC |
| 2014-03-10 | €12M | Torino FC |
| 2014-07-01 | €18M | Torino FC |
| 2015-02-04 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2015-03-29 | €15M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2015-07-01 | €12M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2015-11-23 | €10M | Sevilla FC |
| 2016-06-01 | €10M | Torino FC |
| 2016-07-15 | €10M | Sevilla FC |
| 2017-01-02 | €13M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-03-28 | €15M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-06-08 | €20M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-10-13 | €25M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-12-29 | €35M | SS Lazio |
| 2018-03-24 | €45M | SS Lazio |
| 2018-06-07 | €50M | SS Lazio |
| 2018-12-20 | €50M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-06-06 | €40M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-12-12 | €45M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-03-03 | €50M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-04-08 | €40M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-08-25 | €45M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-12-29 | €45M | SS Lazio |
| 2021-05-25 | €38M | SS Lazio |
| 2021-12-28 | €30M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-06-07 | €27M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-11-11 | €23M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-03-21 | €18M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-06-15 | €15M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-12-20 | €10M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-03-12 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-06-05 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-10-04 | €3.8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-12-23 | €3.3M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-03-20 | €2.8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-06-18 | €2.2M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-12-23 | €2M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2026-06-01 | €1.8M | Paris FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.119
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 16% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 43% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Immobile appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TrappGKParis FC · Ligue 1€1.8M
- BelkeblaCMAngers SCO · Ligue 1€1.8M
- BoufalAMLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€1.8M
- AbergelDMFC Lorient · Ligue 1€1.8M
- AyewCFLeicester City · attackers€1.8M
- BülterLW1.FC Köln · attackers€1.8M
- FountasLWOFI Crete · attackers€1.8M
- SanabriaCFUS Cremonese · attackers€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).