FairValue

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Dante

Vanzeir

CFBelgium · Cercle Brugge

№ 289648Emerging €1.4M +0.28

Player dossierPro League

DanteVanzeir

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Cercle Brugge
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
28
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vanzeir at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Vanzeir during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 33% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €1.4M▼ −0.43B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,555
Goals
6
Assists
5
Started
17/28
Min / app
56
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vanzeir…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dante Vanzeir's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 67th, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 28th67thGoals89thAssists33rdMinutes53rdStarts35thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.29 this player0.15 attacker median89th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jul 2016
Peak
€5.5M
Jan 2022
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
7 club changes
Jun 2026€1.8MCercle BruggeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-15€250kKRC Genk
2017-01-21€250kKRC Genk
2017-06-06€250kKRC Genk
2018-01-09€250kKRC Genk
2018-03-30€400kKRC Genk
2018-06-03€400kKRC Genk
2018-09-14€600kKFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
2019-01-18€1MKFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
2019-06-10€1.3MKFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
2019-09-13€2MKV Mechelen
2019-12-13€2MKV Mechelen
2020-03-30€1.5MKV Mechelen
2020-04-08€1.3MKV Mechelen
2020-07-29€1MKRC Genk
2020-10-21€1MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2021-02-23€1.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2021-10-06€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-01-06€5.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-04-12€5.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-11-04€5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-08-22€4MNew York Red Bulls
2023-12-18€3MNew York Red Bulls
2024-06-13€4MNew York Red Bulls
2024-12-12€4MNew York Red Bulls
2025-03-26€5MKAA Gent
2025-06-12€5MKAA Gent
2025-10-01€3MKAA Gent
2025-12-10€2MKAA Gent
2026-06-04€1.8MCercle Brugge

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.282

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 47% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 43% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vanzeir appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).